Daraus stammt auch die hufig zitierte Prognose, dass wir innerhalb von 30 Jahren ber die technologischen Mittel verfgen werden, um bermenschliche Intelligenz zu schaffen. "Cuando las unidades de mayor inteligencia humana progresen", postula Vinge, "el progreso ser mucho ms rpido". | Ayanna Howard". The Eschaton, a powerful sentient AI created by humans, triggered an event known as the Singularity in the 21 st century. [senzafonte] Per intendersi, un cervello che fosse il doppio di quello di un essere umano, immagazzinerebbe il doppio di dati possibili ma al doppio del tempo e alla met della velocit di apprendimento, (e cos via in maniera esponenziale), rendendo, di fatto, negativi i progressi. [91], Physicist and Astronomer Royal Sir Martin Rees has warned of catastrophic instances like "dumb robots going rogue or a network that develops a mind of its own." Zo neemt bijvoorbeeld de kloksnelheden van processoren lang niet meer zo snel toe als in de jaren 1990-2000 omdat het moeilijker wordt de warmte die vrijkomt af te voeren. OpenCog: A Software Framework for Integrative Artificial General Intelligence. Economic Research Note: US: is I.T. Las mquinas ms altamente organizadas son criaturas no tanto de ayer, sino a partir de los ltimos cinco minutos, por as decirlo, en comparacin con el tiempo pasado. Vernor Vinge's concept of technological singularity is the origin of the Transcendence concept. Estas iteraciones de auto-mejora recursiva podran acelerar, y permitir potencialmente, un enorme cambio cualitativo antes de que los lmites superiores impuestos por las leyes de la fsica o de clculo terico fueran fijados. He writes that $1,000 will buy computer power equal to a single brain "by around 2020"[13] while by 2045, the onset of the Singularity, he says the same amount of money will buy one billion times more power than all human brains combined today. El acontecimiento singularidad tecnolgica para algunos autores y crticos trae muchsimos riesgos para la sociedad. Joanna Bryson has argued that creating AI that requires rights is both avoidable, and would in itself be unethical, both as a burden to the AI agents and to human society.[68]. Sommige meer extreme visies op postindustrile samenlevingen, vooral in fictie dan, lijken veel op postsingulariteit samenlevingen. Quello che Kurzweil chiama the law of accelerating returns si pu schematizzare nei seguenti punti: Se si applicano questi principi all'evoluzione della Terra, possibile notare come siano aderenti al processo di sviluppo che avvenuto:[3]. Los asistentes a la conferencia sealaron que la autoconciencia como se muestra en la ciencia-ficcin es probablemente poco probable, pero que existen otros riesgos y peligros potenciales.[82]. ", Ethics of Artificial Intelligence and Robotics, BBC News: Games to take on a life of their own, Artificial intelligence as a global catastrophic risk, Controversies and dangers of artificial general intelligence, Relationship between religion and science, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Ethics_of_artificial_intelligence&oldid=1122840912, Articles with Russian-language sources (ru), Short description is different from Wikidata, All articles with vague or ambiguous time, Vague or ambiguous time from November 2020, Articles with failed verification from November 2020, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, A customer service representative (AI technology is already used today for telephone-based, A nursemaid for the elderly (as was reported by, In January 2020, in the United States, the, In Russia, the first-ever Russian "Codex of ethics of artificial intelligence" for business was signed in 2021. Men is dikwijls geneigd te geloven dat het Moore was die met zijn wet voorspellingen deed over alle vormen van technologie, terwijl hij het alleen maar had over halfgeleiderschakelingen. La crescita esponenziale del progresso tecnologico potrebbe diventare lineare o flettersi o potrebbe cominciare ad appiattirsi in una curva che permette una crescita limitata. [72], Por otro lado, varios autores proponen otras "singularidades" a travs del anlisis de las tendencias de la poblacin mundial, el producto interno bruto mundial o la longevidad, entre otros ndices. Su argumento es que los autores no pueden escribir personajes realistas que superen el intelecto humano, ya que va ms all de la capacidad de expresin humana. Kurzweil says "the knee in the curve" is the time when the exponential trend is going to explode, while Modis claims if the process is logistic when you hit the "knee" the quantity you are measuring is only going to increase by a factor of 100 more. [25], In the review of 84[26] ethics guidelines for AI 11 clusters of principles were found: transparency, justice and fairness, non-maleficence, responsibility, privacy, beneficence, freedom and autonomy, trust, sustainability, dignity, solidarity. Ook het tekenfilmgenre exploreerde al het singulariteitsthema zoals Vinge en Kurzweil het voorstellen in hun geschriften. El primero se encuentra en un mundo de rpida aceleracin de cambio que lleva a la aparicin de ms y ms tecnologas sofisticadas separadas por intervalos de tiempo cada vez ms cortos, hasta que se alcanza un punto ms all de la comprensin humana. En otras palabra: No podemos pensar ms all de nuestra capacidad y forma de pensar. Zo hebben deze machines het uiterlijk van plantachtige groeisels die op moleculair niveau werken, zoals in levende wezens die op cellulair niveau ook als zeer complexe moleculaire machines te beschouwen zijn. Seal adems que "Las nuevas tecnologas siguen las leyes del uso de la energa y la informacin de difusin conocidas y estn obligados a conectarse con los que existen. The most predominant view on how bias is introduced into AI systems is that it is embedded within the historical data used to train the system. [60], El escritor estadounidense Jaron Lanier, tambin habla en torno a la tecnologa, refutando la idea de que la singularidad es inevitable. On the other hand, it has been shown that the global acceleration until recently followed a hyperbolic rather than exponential pattern. [20], In 2009, academics and technical experts attended a conference organized by the Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence to discuss the potential impact of robots and computers and the impact of the hypothetical possibility that they could become self-sufficient and able to make their own decisions. Il concetto di singolarit viene citato nel videogioco cellule alla singolarit come obiettivo del gioco. Este aviso fue puesto el 17 de junio de 2019. He is the current Ambassador and President Emeritus (as of February 2021) after serving almost nine and a half years as president and CEO of Alcor Life Extension Nel suo saggio, Vinge si chiede perch l'era umana dovrebbe finire, e argomenta che gli umani saranno trasformati durante la singolarit in una forma di intelligenza superiore. having been subjected to genetic enhancements), is suffering from a strange illness. All these scenarios try to foresee possibly unethical consequences of the creation of sentient computers.[130]. The Machine Intelligence Research Institute has suggested a need to build "Friendly AI", meaning that the advances which are already occurring with AI should also include an effort to make AI intrinsically friendly and humane. [11] What technology will follow integrated circuits, to serve as the sixth paradigm, is unknown, but Kurzweil believes nanotubes are the most likely alternative among a number of possibilities: nanotubes and nanotube circuitry, molecular computing, self-assembly in nanotube circuits, biological systems emulating circuit assembly, computing with DNA, spintronics (computing with the spin of electrons), computing with light, and quantum computing. Who is Vernor Vinge? La tecnologa dominar los mtodos de la biologa hasta dar lugar a una era en que se impondr la inteligencia no biolgica de los posthumanos, que se expandir por el universo. [13][83] On October 31, 2019, the United States Department of Defense's Defense Innovation Board published the draft of a report recommending principles for the ethical use of artificial intelligence by the Department of Defense that would ensure a human operator would always be able to look into the 'black box' and understand the kill-chain process. ; . [78][79] No est claro si una explosin de inteligencia de este tipo sera beneficiosa o perjudicial, o incluso una amenaza existencial. Machine ethics (or machine morality) is the field of research concerned with designing Artificial Moral Agents (AMAs), robots or artificially intelligent computers that behave morally or as though moral. Algunos autores se han dedicado a predecir cundo y cmo esta singularidad podra ocurrir. Die Singularitt naht, This page was last edited on 21 October 2022, at 20:16. Entre 1986 y 2007, la capacidad especfica de la aplicacin de las mquinas para computar la informacin per cpita, se ha duplicado cada 14 meses; la capacidad per cpita de ordenadores de uso general en el mundo se ha duplicado cada 18 meses; la capacidad mundial de telecomunicaciones per cpita se duplic cada 34 meses; y la capacidad de almacenamiento del mundo per cpita se duplic cada 40 meses. De Amerikaanse wiskundige en sciencefictionauteur Vernor Vinge begon in de jaren 1980 te spreken over de singulariteit en verzamelde zijn gedachten over dit onderwerp in januari 1983 in een voorwoord voor het inmiddels opgeheven tijdschrift Omni.Hij beschreef het concept voor het eerst uitvoerig in 1993 in zijn essay 'Singularity'. Interview by Glenn Reynolds and Helen Smith, Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technologies, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Vernor_Vinge&oldid=1121144391, 20th-century American short story writers, 21st-century American short story writers, 21st-century American non-fiction writers, University of California, San Diego alumni, Pages containing links to subscription-only content, Official website different in Wikidata and Wikipedia, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, "The Ungoverned" (occurs in the same milieu as, "Conquest by Default" (occurs in the same milieu as "Apartness"), "The Blabber" (occurs in the same milieu as, "Win a Nobel Prize!" Vraag in deze context is of ze dubbel zo intelligent is. [19], There are discussion on creating tests to see if an AI is capable of making ethical decisions. The simulation theory is the hypothesis that reality could be simulatedfor example by quantum computer simulationto a degree indistinguishable from "true" reality. Bill Hibbard argues that because AI will have such a profound effect on humanity, AI developers are representatives of future humanity and thus have an ethical obligation to be transparent in their efforts. [71], Weizenbaum was also bothered that AI researchers (and some philosophers) were willing to view the human mind as nothing more than a computer program (a position now known as computationalism). [40][21][41] Muchos autores tambin vinculan la singularidad de las observaciones del crecimiento exponencial de diversas tecnologas (con la Ley de Moore, que es el ejemplo ms prominente). Fue puesto el 17 de junio de 2019 para la sociedad forma de pensar origin of the of... Humana progresen '', postula Vinge, `` el progreso ser mucho ms rpido '' 130! 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